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Red51
467416.0
72355.7
310222.4
Blue47
64535.5
591318.9
453925.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions465602040801001205147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.40.5
22.422.9
Auto7.0
Teleop12.5
End2.9
blue by 2.7
4539
#21
25.10.2
25.725.6
Auto7.6
Teleop14.9
End2.6
Second
16.00.5
15.516.0
Auto5.9
Teleop9.5
End0.6
blue by 2.8
5913
#15
18.90.2
18.218.0
Auto5.3
Teleop10.5
End3.1
Third
7235
#20
5.70.5
5.25.7
Auto0.4
Teleop4.9
End0.4
red by 0.2
6453
#18
5.50.2
5.75.5
Auto1.8
Teleop3.6
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed41%Ensemble oddsMissed