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Red26
32788.3
329718.3
525312.7
Blue23
70486.1
95326.9
613210.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions512304060801001201402623

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.31.1
19.518.3
Auto6.1
Teleop4.9
End7.3
red by 8.3
6132
#26
10.00.4
10.910.5
Auto3.6
Teleop4.7
End1.7
Second
5253
#13
12.71.1
13.812.7
Auto5.2
Teleop6.9
End0.7
red by 5.9
9532
#17
6.90.4
7.26.9
Auto3.3
Teleop1.7
End1.8
Third
3278
#23
8.31.1
9.48.3
Auto1.1
Teleop7.4
End-0.2
red by 2.2
7048
#25
6.10.4
5.65.2
Auto1.6
Teleop4.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
42%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed