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Red41
565317.3
88789.4
327712.6
Blue21
43602.7
46237.4
25038.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions531404060801001201404121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.31.1
18.417.3
Auto5.3
Teleop10.2
End1.8
red by 8.4
2503
#19
8.90.2
7.78.0
Auto4.9
Teleop2.8
End1.2
Second
3277
#12
12.61.1
13.712.6
Auto5.9
Teleop6.2
End0.5
red by 5.2
4623
#22
7.40.2
7.17.4
Auto1.1
Teleop4.0
End2.4
Third
8878
#14
9.41.1
11.09.9
Auto2.0
Teleop5.7
End1.7
red by 6.7
4360
#11
2.70.2
2.52.7
Auto-1.2
Teleop3.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed3%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed