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Red50
767719.3
25038.9
70486.1
Blue38
44807.1
310222.4
613210.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33470204060801001205038

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.30.9
18.419.3
Auto7.8
Teleop10.1
End1.4
blue by 3.1
22.40.5
22.922.4
Auto7.0
Teleop12.5
End2.9
Second
2503
#19
8.90.9
8.08.9
Auto4.9
Teleop2.8
End1.2
blue by 1.2
6132
#26
10.00.5
10.510.0
Auto3.6
Teleop4.7
End1.7
Third
7048
#25
6.10.9
5.26.1
Auto1.6
Teleop4.0
End0.5
blue by 1.0
4480
#24
7.10.5
7.77.1
Auto4.0
Teleop2.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed