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Red51
310222.4
767719.3
329414.4
Blue64
418118.2
327518.3
591318.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions635802040801001201401605164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.40.1
22.422.3
Auto7.0
Teleop12.5
End2.9
red by 3.5
5913
#15
18.90.3
18.018.2
Auto5.3
Teleop10.5
End3.1
Second
19.30.1
19.319.2
Auto7.8
Teleop10.1
End1.4
red by 1.0
18.30.3
17.417.6
Auto7.0
Teleop10.5
End0.8
Third
14.40.1
14.414.2
Auto5.5
Teleop7.1
End1.7
blue by 3.8
18.20.3
17.317.6
Auto5.4
Teleop10.9
End1.9