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Red25
818818.2
310222.4
72353.0
Blue66
565317.0
767719.4
525311.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53500204060801002566

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.41.5
21.019.5
Auto5.6
Teleop13.9
End2.9
red by 3.0
7677
#12
19.41.3
17.819.1
Auto7.7
Teleop10.7
End1.1
Second
8188
#21
18.21.5
20.919.4
Auto5.2
Teleop11.7
End1.2
red by 1.2
17.01.3
16.017.4
Auto4.6
Teleop10.4
End1.9
Third
7235
#25
3.01.5
5.74.1
Auto0.2
Teleop2.6
End0.2
blue by 8.2
5253
#14
11.21.3
12.013.3
Auto4.9
Teleop5.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed39%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed