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Qual 152024 NMRC Open
Red26
44805.6
591320.1
327521.5
Blue48
400919.2
569020.5
418115.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions437101001502648

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3275
#4
21.51.1
19.4→18.3
Auto7.0
Teleop13.9
End0.6
red by 1.1
5690
#16
20.51.2
21.6→20.4
Auto8.9
Teleop9.6
End1.9
Second
5913
#11
20.11.1
18.2→17.1
Auto5.6
Teleop11.5
End3.0
red by 0.9
4009
#10
19.21.2
21.5→20.3
Auto9.2
Teleop7.1
End3.0
Third
4480
#22
5.61.1
4.4→3.3
Auto3.5
Teleop1.1
End1.0
blue by 9.7
4181
#8
15.31.2
18.0→16.8
Auto5.6
Teleop6.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsMissed54%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned