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Red31
32789.6
85869.4
467414.2
Blue51
842214.1
70487.1
327716.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373810203050603151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4674
#15
14.20.2
15.315.1
Auto4.3
Teleop9.6
End0.4
blue by 2.7
16.91.1
13.915.0
Auto8.2
Teleop8.5
End0.2
Second
3278
#20
9.60.2
8.17.9
Auto1.8
Teleop7.6
End0.2
blue by 4.6
8422
#18
14.11.1
13.414.5
Auto5.6
Teleop5.9
End2.6
Third
8586
#24
9.40.2
10.210.0
Auto3.2
Teleop5.9
End0.3
red by 2.2
7048
#13
7.11.1
7.38.4
Auto1.8
Teleop4.9
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed