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Red142
300915.8
98738.6
441449.6
Blue75
68737.2
912510.5
240327.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116785010015020014275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.60.8
48.449.2
Auto19.4
Teleop24.6
End5.5
red by 12.3
687
#15
37.20.0
37.237.2
Auto14.9
Teleop22.3
End0.1
Second
987
#2
38.60.8
37.438.2
Auto14.0
Teleop20.2
End4.3
red by 11.2
27.30.0
27.327.3
Auto6.5
Teleop19.4
End1.4
Third
3009
#19
15.80.8
14.615.4
Auto5.9
Teleop6.6
End3.2
red by 5.3
9125
#34
10.50.0
10.510.5
Auto3.3
Teleop6.5
End0.7