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Red100
240327.3
912510.5
68737.2
Blue83
585125.8
6020.0
59726.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions827920406010012014016010083

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
687
#15
37.20.5
36.737.2
Auto14.9
Teleop22.3
End0.1
red by 10.4
597
#11
26.80.2
26.626.8
Auto8.2
Teleop16.3
End2.3
Second
27.30.5
26.827.3
Auto6.5
Teleop19.4
End1.4
red by 1.5
5851
#16
25.80.2
25.625.8
Auto7.4
Teleop17.2
End1.1
Third
9125
#34
10.50.5
10.010.5
Auto3.3
Teleop6.5
End0.7
blue by 9.5
60
#13
20.00.2
19.820.0
Auto5.5
Teleop12.1
End2.5