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Red22
802210.6
45019.9
83874.4
Blue36
50493.7
940016.3
9887.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283602060801001201401602236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8022
#27
10.60.5
10.810.4
Auto4.9
Teleop4.0
End1.7
blue by 5.7
16.30.0
12.512.4
Auto6.7
Teleop9.4
End0.2
Second
4501
#22
9.90.3
6.86.5
Auto4.6
Teleop4.1
End1.2
red by 2.1
988
#20
7.80.1
9.39.2
Auto4.2
Teleop2.9
End0.8
Third
8387
#37
4.40.5
8.58.0
Auto2.4
Teleop0.9
End1.1
red by 0.7
5049
#39
3.70.1
9.89.7
Auto1.3
Teleop2.2
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed