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Red36
90025.7
912510.5
59726.8
Blue21
742514.8
70777.0
95349.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions412602060801003621

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
597
#11
26.80.3
21.321.0
Auto8.2
Teleop16.3
End2.3
red by 12.0
7425
#32
14.80.5
10.49.9
Auto3.5
Teleop10.2
End1.1
Second
9125
#34
10.50.3
7.06.7
Auto3.3
Teleop6.5
End0.7
red by 1.0
9534
#35
9.50.5
8.27.7
Auto2.5
Teleop5.6
End1.4
Third
9002
#40
5.70.5
7.26.7
Auto3.7
Teleop1.3
End0.7
blue by 1.4
7077
#29
7.00.5
6.76.3
Auto3.4
Teleop2.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed