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Red54
800518.8
718315.2
928710.2
Blue46
585125.8
54298.8
871713.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395002060801005446

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8005
#23
18.81.3
14.916.2
Auto7.8
Teleop9.5
End1.5
blue by 7.0
5851
#16
25.80.2
20.119.9
Auto7.4
Teleop17.2
End1.1
Second
7183
#18
15.21.9
8.510.5
Auto4.1
Teleop10.3
End0.9
red by 1.3
8717
#26
13.90.3
13.713.4
Auto6.9
Teleop4.9
End2.1
Third
9287
#41
10.21.9
13.315.2
Auto4.8
Teleop3.4
End2.0
red by 1.4
5429
#30
8.80.3
10.19.8
Auto5.0
Teleop3.4
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsMissed40%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed