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Red22
953910.5
68256.3
70112.3
Blue87
915112.4
441449.6
321614.4
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2680040601001201402287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
701
#21
12.30.5
10.510.0
Auto6.2
Teleop4.5
End1.5
blue by 37.2
49.61.4
39.841.2
Auto19.4
Teleop24.6
End5.5
Second
9539
#28
10.50.8
8.87.9
Auto4.2
Teleop4.8
End1.5
blue by 3.9
3216
#12
14.41.6
14.115.7
Auto6.8
Teleop5.6
End2.0
Third
6825
#33
6.30.8
10.49.5
Auto1.4
Teleop4.0
End0.8
blue by 6.2
9151
#38
12.42.4
11.714.1
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed70%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsEarned