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Red15
321614.4
74238.3
76549.0
Blue107
240327.3
585125.8
441449.6
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions309905015015107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3216
#12
14.41.4
15.714.3
Auto6.8
Teleop5.6
End2.0
blue by 35.2
49.61.7
41.242.9
Auto19.4
Teleop24.6
End5.5
Second
7654
#25
9.02.3
9.16.9
Auto2.7
Teleop5.5
End0.8
blue by 18.3
27.31.7
20.522.1
Auto6.5
Teleop19.4
End1.4
Third
7423
#31
8.32.3
10.58.3
Auto3.6
Teleop4.1
End0.6
blue by 17.5
5851
#16
25.81.7
19.921.6
Auto7.4
Teleop17.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed88%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed