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Red33
742514.8
915112.4
76736.5
Blue46
6020.0
45019.9
70777.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions392602060803346

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7425
#32
14.80.0
12.212.2
Auto3.5
Teleop10.2
End1.1
blue by 5.2
60
#13
20.00.7
12.813.5
Auto5.5
Teleop12.1
End2.5
Second
9151
#38
12.40.0
14.114.0
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End0.4
red by 2.5
4501
#22
9.90.7
7.98.6
Auto4.6
Teleop4.1
End1.2
Third
7673
#45
6.50.0
7.17.0
Auto2.8
Teleop2.8
End0.9
blue by 0.5
7077
#29
7.01.2
4.25.4
Auto3.4
Teleop2.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsEarned