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Red46
565321.8
90187.4
912510.5
Blue47
802210.6
696826.7
45851.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372602060801001204647

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.80.6
18.519.1
Auto8.3
Teleop11.2
End2.4
blue by 4.9
26.71.5
14.616.0
Auto6.9
Teleop17.7
End2.2
Second
9125
#34
10.50.6
6.26.8
Auto3.3
Teleop6.5
End0.7
blue by 0.1
8022
#27
10.61.5
8.29.7
Auto4.9
Teleop4.0
End1.7
Third
9018
#43
7.41.0
7.28.2
Auto2.9
Teleop3.4
End1.1
red by 5.7
4585
#42
1.70.9
2.02.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop1.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed