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Red80
74238.3
651022.8
441449.6
Blue60
68737.2
802210.6
800518.8
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8356020401001201401608060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.60.2
39.639.4
Auto19.4
Teleop24.6
End5.5
red by 12.3
687
#15
37.20.4
29.630.0
Auto14.9
Teleop22.3
End0.1
Second
6510
#10
22.80.3
22.922.6
Auto8.6
Teleop13.0
End1.2
red by 4.0
8005
#23
18.80.6
14.014.5
Auto7.8
Teleop9.5
End1.5
Third
7423
#31
8.30.3
9.69.3
Auto3.6
Teleop4.1
End0.6
blue by 2.2
8022
#27
10.60.7
10.110.8
Auto4.9
Teleop4.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
68%Melody oddsEarned61%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed