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Red42
442129.6
54298.8
50493.7
Blue83
70112.3
565321.8
98738.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385602060804283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.60.4
17.618.0
Auto12.5
Teleop15.5
End1.6
blue by 8.9
987
#2
38.62.8
26.529.3
Auto14.0
Teleop20.2
End4.3
Second
5429
#30
8.80.6
9.410.1
Auto5.0
Teleop3.4
End0.4
blue by 13.1
21.83.1
14.217.3
Auto8.3
Teleop11.2
End2.4
Third
5049
#39
3.70.6
9.29.8
Auto1.3
Teleop2.2
End0.1
blue by 8.7
701
#21
12.32.6
7.510.0
Auto6.2
Teleop4.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed83%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned