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Red49
912510.5
76549.0
138828.1
Blue31
45019.9
74238.3
915112.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48320204060801004931

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.10.1
28.128.3
Auto11.1
Teleop16.9
End0.2
red by 15.7
9151
#38
12.40.5
14.013.5
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End0.4
Second
9125
#34
10.50.1
6.86.9
Auto3.3
Teleop6.5
End0.7
red by 0.6
4501
#22
9.90.3
8.68.3
Auto4.6
Teleop4.1
End1.2
Third
7654
#25
9.00.2
6.97.1
Auto2.7
Teleop5.5
End0.8
red by 0.7
7423
#31
8.30.5
8.37.7
Auto3.6
Teleop4.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed