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Red115
441449.6
442129.6
70777.0
Blue66
696826.7
800518.8
300915.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8346206010012014011566

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.62.1
42.945.1
Auto19.4
Teleop24.6
End5.5
red by 22.8
26.71.7
16.017.7
Auto6.9
Teleop17.7
End2.2
Second
29.62.1
22.624.8
Auto12.5
Teleop15.5
End1.6
red by 10.8
8005
#23
18.81.0
15.616.6
Auto7.8
Teleop9.5
End1.5
Third
7077
#29
7.03.6
5.49.0
Auto3.4
Teleop2.7
End0.9
blue by 8.7
3009
#19
15.81.0
14.515.5
Auto5.9
Teleop6.6
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
59%Melody oddsEarned34%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsEarned25%Ensemble oddsMissed