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Red67
76736.5
59726.8
70112.3
Blue46
45851.7
928710.2
742633.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425820801006746

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
597
#11
26.80.7
21.922.6
Auto8.2
Teleop16.3
End2.3
blue by 6.5
7426
#14
33.30.8
35.034.2
Auto12.0
Teleop18.2
End3.2
Second
701
#21
12.30.7
11.211.8
Auto6.2
Teleop4.5
End1.5
red by 2.1
9287
#41
10.21.4
12.511.1
Auto4.8
Teleop3.4
End2.0
Third
7673
#45
6.51.1
7.08.1
Auto2.8
Teleop2.8
End0.9
red by 4.8
4585
#42
1.70.8
2.92.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop1.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsMissed50%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed