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Red49
98738.6
72357.0
802210.6
Blue52
718315.2
83874.4
565321.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5637020801004952

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#2
38.60.3
31.331.0
Auto14.0
Teleop20.2
End4.3
red by 16.7
21.81.1
19.120.2
Auto8.3
Teleop11.2
End2.4
Second
8022
#27
10.60.5
9.79.2
Auto4.9
Teleop4.0
End1.7
blue by 4.6
7183
#18
15.21.8
10.912.7
Auto4.1
Teleop10.3
End0.9
Third
7235
#44
7.00.3
7.47.1
Auto1.1
Teleop5.4
End0.6
red by 2.7
8387
#37
4.41.8
5.97.7
Auto2.4
Teleop0.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
69%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed