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Red45
321614.4
95349.5
99113.0
Blue18
871713.9
802210.6
90187.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343420304050604518

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3216
#12
14.40.9
13.714.6
Auto6.8
Teleop5.6
End2.0
red by 0.4
8717
#26
13.91.5
14.112.5
Auto6.9
Teleop4.9
End2.1
Second
991
#17
13.00.9
11.312.2
Auto5.4
Teleop6.2
End1.4
red by 2.5
8022
#27
10.61.5
9.27.7
Auto4.9
Teleop4.0
End1.7
Third
9534
#35
9.51.5
6.47.9
Auto2.5
Teleop5.6
End1.4
red by 2.1
9018
#43
7.41.5
6.65.1
Auto2.9
Teleop3.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed