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Red43
54298.8
68737.2
76736.5
Blue50
90025.7
940016.3
138828.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585602040801001204350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
687
#15
37.20.6
34.133.5
Auto14.9
Teleop22.3
End0.1
red by 9.1
28.10.1
28.328.2
Auto11.1
Teleop16.9
End0.2
Second
5429
#30
8.81.0
10.08.9
Auto5.0
Teleop3.4
End0.4
blue by 7.5
16.30.1
14.214.2
Auto6.7
Teleop9.4
End0.2
Third
7673
#45
6.51.0
8.17.1
Auto2.8
Teleop2.8
End0.9
red by 0.8
9002
#40
5.70.1
8.58.4
Auto3.7
Teleop1.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsMissed48%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed