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Red64
45851.7
585125.8
442129.6
Blue70
94264.9
6020.0
651022.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54533040506070806470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.61.0
24.825.8
Auto12.5
Teleop15.5
End1.6
red by 6.8
6510
#10
22.80.1
24.724.8
Auto8.6
Teleop13.0
End1.2
Second
5851
#16
25.81.0
22.223.2
Auto7.4
Teleop17.2
End1.1
red by 5.8
60
#13
20.00.1
15.916.0
Auto5.5
Teleop12.1
End2.5
Third
4585
#42
1.71.0
2.13.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop1.5
End0.3
blue by 3.3
9426
#36
4.90.2
7.47.6
Auto3.3
Teleop1.6
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsEarned40%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
2%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed