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Red36
95349.5
72357.0
6020.0
Blue50
928710.2
321614.4
45019.9
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334002060803650

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60
#13
20.00.4
16.016.4
Auto5.5
Teleop12.1
End2.5
red by 5.6
3216
#12
14.40.0
14.614.6
Auto6.8
Teleop5.6
End2.0
Second
9534
#35
9.50.6
7.98.5
Auto2.5
Teleop5.6
End1.4
blue by 0.7
9287
#41
10.20.0
11.911.9
Auto4.8
Teleop3.4
End2.0
Third
7235
#44
7.00.4
6.87.2
Auto1.1
Teleop5.4
End0.6
blue by 2.8
4501
#22
9.90.0
8.68.6
Auto4.6
Teleop4.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsEarned