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Red28
45851.7
90187.4
59726.8
Blue29
54298.8
99113.0
718315.2
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35400102030506070802829

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
597
#11
26.80.3
23.823.6
Auto8.2
Teleop16.3
End2.3
red by 11.6
7183
#18
15.20.8
14.113.4
Auto4.1
Teleop10.3
End0.9
Second
9018
#43
7.40.4
5.14.6
Auto2.9
Teleop3.4
End1.1
blue by 5.7
991
#17
13.00.5
12.712.3
Auto5.4
Teleop6.2
End1.4
Third
4585
#42
1.70.3
3.12.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop1.5
End0.3
blue by 7.1
5429
#30
8.80.8
8.98.2
Auto5.0
Teleop3.4
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed