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Red44
76549.0
871713.9
915112.4
Blue59
90187.4
72357.0
442129.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38462060801004459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8717
#26
13.90.4
12.312.7
Auto6.9
Teleop4.9
End2.1
blue by 15.7
29.60.6
27.327.9
Auto12.5
Teleop15.5
End1.6
Second
9151
#38
12.40.3
13.013.3
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End0.4
red by 5.1
9018
#43
7.40.8
6.77.5
Auto2.9
Teleop3.4
End1.1
Third
7654
#25
9.00.3
10.310.6
Auto2.7
Teleop5.5
End0.8
red by 2.0
7235
#44
7.00.6
6.57.1
Auto1.1
Teleop5.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed