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Red75
99113.0
696826.7
45019.9
Blue64
321614.4
651022.8
68737.2
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions429202060801001201401607564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.72.0
23.125.2
Auto6.9
Teleop17.7
End2.2
blue by 10.5
687
#15
37.22.2
37.134.9
Auto14.9
Teleop22.3
End0.1
Second
991
#17
13.01.3
12.313.6
Auto5.4
Teleop6.2
End1.4
blue by 9.8
6510
#10
22.82.2
24.522.3
Auto8.6
Teleop13.0
End1.2
Third
4501
#22
9.91.3
9.010.3
Auto4.6
Teleop4.1
End1.2
blue by 4.5
3216
#12
14.42.2
15.913.7
Auto6.8
Teleop5.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsEarned80%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsEarned