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Red90
742514.8
248620.7
98738.6
Blue7
45851.7
83874.4
68256.3
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions835204060100120140907

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#2
38.60.9
34.435.3
Auto14.0
Teleop20.2
End4.3
red by 32.3
6825
#33
6.30.7
6.96.3
Auto1.4
Teleop4.0
End0.8
Second
20.70.9
18.619.5
Auto6.5
Teleop13.1
End1.2
red by 16.3
8387
#37
4.40.6
5.04.4
Auto2.4
Teleop0.9
End1.1
Third
7425
#32
14.81.2
13.114.3
Auto3.5
Teleop10.2
End1.1
red by 13.2
4585
#42
1.70.5
2.11.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop1.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
85%Melody oddsEarned5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsEarned4%Ensemble oddsMissed