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Red68
59726.8
94264.9
585125.8
Blue80
565321.8
441449.6
871713.9
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55952040801201401606880

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
597
#11
26.80.3
25.425.6
Auto8.2
Teleop16.3
End2.3
blue by 22.7
49.60.2
46.546.3
Auto19.4
Teleop24.6
End5.5
Second
5851
#16
25.80.3
24.324.6
Auto7.4
Teleop17.2
End1.1
red by 4.0
21.80.2
21.921.7
Auto8.3
Teleop11.2
End2.4
Third
9426
#36
4.90.4
4.64.9
Auto3.3
Teleop1.6
End-0.0
blue by 9.0
8717
#26
13.90.3
12.712.4
Auto6.9
Teleop4.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
75%Melody oddsEarned86%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed44%Ensemble oddsEarned