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Red66
912510.5
718315.2
68737.2
Blue68
442129.6
9887.8
321614.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions655202040801001206668

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
687
#15
37.20.4
34.935.3
Auto14.9
Teleop22.3
End0.1
red by 7.6
29.60.6
27.928.5
Auto12.5
Teleop15.5
End1.6
Second
7183
#18
15.20.6
14.515.1
Auto4.1
Teleop10.3
End0.9
red by 0.8
3216
#12
14.40.6
13.714.3
Auto6.8
Teleop5.6
End2.0
Third
9125
#34
10.50.4
8.28.6
Auto3.3
Teleop6.5
End0.7
red by 2.6
988
#20
7.80.8
7.48.2
Auto4.2
Teleop2.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed