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Red51
651022.8
300915.8
802210.6
Blue25
70112.3
915112.4
90025.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53330204060801001205125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6510
#10
22.80.4
22.322.7
Auto8.6
Teleop13.0
End1.2
red by 10.4
9151
#38
12.40.9
13.312.4
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End0.4
Second
3009
#19
15.80.4
13.013.3
Auto5.9
Teleop6.6
End3.2
red by 3.4
701
#21
12.30.6
12.812.1
Auto6.2
Teleop4.5
End1.5
Third
8022
#27
10.60.5
10.110.6
Auto4.9
Teleop4.0
End1.7
red by 4.9
9002
#40
5.70.9
6.55.7
Auto3.7
Teleop1.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsEarned18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed