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Red64
59726.8
240327.3
953910.5
Blue52
45019.9
90187.4
800518.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53300204060806452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.30.9
17.118.0
Auto6.5
Teleop19.4
End1.4
red by 8.5
8005
#23
18.80.4
14.514.9
Auto7.8
Teleop9.5
End1.5
Second
597
#11
26.81.0
20.321.3
Auto8.2
Teleop16.3
End2.3
red by 16.9
4501
#22
9.90.3
6.56.8
Auto4.6
Teleop4.1
End1.2
Third
9539
#28
10.51.4
7.48.8
Auto4.2
Teleop4.8
End1.5
red by 3.1
9018
#43
7.40.5
8.48.9
Auto2.9
Teleop3.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsEarned18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed