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Red51
98738.6
915112.4
54298.8
Blue76
248620.7
651022.8
585125.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions566102004006008001,0001,2005176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#2
38.60.0
29.329.3
Auto14.0
Teleop20.2
End4.3
red by 12.7
5851
#16
25.81.1
19.020.1
Auto7.4
Teleop17.2
End1.1
Second
9151
#38
12.40.0
11.711.7
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End0.4
blue by 10.4
6510
#10
22.81.3
22.623.9
Auto8.6
Teleop13.0
End1.2
Third
5429
#30
8.80.0
10.110.1
Auto5.0
Teleop3.4
End0.4
blue by 11.9
20.71.1
13.314.5
Auto6.5
Teleop13.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
76%Melody oddsEarned40%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed