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Red41
22653.4
188021.4
115521.7
Blue82
286930.5
33316.2
341929.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions469001502004182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.0
21.721.7
Auto7.3
Teleop12.5
End1.9
blue by 8.8
30.50.0
30.530.5
Auto9.7
Teleop19.0
End1.8
Second
1880
#18
21.40.0
21.421.4
Auto5.8
Teleop14.5
End1.1
blue by 8.2
29.60.0
29.629.6
Auto10.9
Teleop16.5
End2.3
Third
2265
#16
3.40.0
3.43.4
Auto0.6
Teleop2.4
End0.4
blue by 12.8
333
#8
16.20.0
16.216.2
Auto5.5
Teleop9.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody odds85%Melody odds
Ensemble
6%Ensemble odds12%Ensemble odds