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Red54
69425.9
160111.5
99987.0
Blue78
873914.0
36910.1
179650.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions428901502002505478

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#1
25.90.0
25.925.9
Auto3.4
Teleop18.8
End3.7
blue by 24.7
50.70.0
50.750.7
Auto17.9
Teleop26.8
End5.9
Second
1601
#14
11.50.0
11.511.5
Auto3.1
Teleop7.1
End1.4
blue by 2.5
8739
#12
14.00.0
14.014.0
Auto7.0
Teleop6.2
End0.9
Third
9998
#11
7.00.0
7.07.0
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End0.5
blue by 3.0
369
#4
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto4.7
Teleop5.3
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody odds57%Melody odds
Ensemble
12%Ensemble odds33%Ensemble odds