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Red51
341929.6
99977.0
3953.9
Blue21
99937.0
99997.0
286930.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375301001502005121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.60.0
29.629.6
Auto10.9
Teleop16.5
End2.3
blue by 0.9
30.50.0
30.530.5
Auto9.7
Teleop19.0
End1.8
Second
9997
#17
7.00.0
7.07.0
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End0.5
Level
9993
#13
7.00.0
7.07.0
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End0.5
Third
395
#10
3.90.0
3.93.9
Auto0.8
Teleop2.3
End0.7
blue by 3.2
9999
#15
7.00.0
7.07.0
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody odds14%Melody odds
Ensemble
8%Ensemble odds22%Ensemble odds