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Red18
33417.0
964226.8
99987.0
Blue24
160111.5
33316.2
36910.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions564001001502002503003501824

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.80.0
26.826.8
Auto10.5
Teleop14.8
End1.5
red by 10.7
333
#8
16.20.0
16.216.2
Auto5.5
Teleop9.3
End1.4
Second
334
#7
17.00.0
17.017.0
Auto6.3
Teleop8.5
End2.3
red by 5.5
1601
#14
11.50.0
11.511.5
Auto3.1
Teleop7.1
End1.4
Third
9998
#11
7.00.0
7.07.0
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End0.5
blue by 3.0
369
#4
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto4.7
Teleop5.3
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody odds14%Melody odds
Ensemble
10%Ensemble odds8%Ensemble odds