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Red39
188021.4
22653.4
69425.9
Blue60
179650.7
115521.7
873914.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5010301502002503960

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#1
25.90.0
25.925.9
Auto3.4
Teleop18.8
End3.7
blue by 24.7
50.70.0
50.750.7
Auto17.9
Teleop26.8
End5.9
Second
1880
#18
21.40.0
21.421.4
Auto5.8
Teleop14.5
End1.1
blue by 0.3
21.70.0
21.721.7
Auto7.3
Teleop12.5
End1.9
Third
2265
#16
3.40.0
3.43.4
Auto0.6
Teleop2.4
End0.4
blue by 10.6
8739
#12
14.00.0
14.014.0
Auto7.0
Teleop6.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody odds89%Melody odds
Ensemble
16%Ensemble odds23%Ensemble odds