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Red20
179650.7
286930.5
188021.4
Blue36
99987.0
99937.0
964226.8
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126320501001502002036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.70.0
50.750.7
Auto17.9
Teleop26.8
End5.9
red by 23.8
26.80.0
26.826.8
Auto10.5
Teleop14.8
End1.5
Second
30.50.0
30.530.5
Auto9.7
Teleop19.0
End1.8
red by 23.5
9993
#13
7.00.0
7.07.0
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End0.5
Third
1880
#18
21.40.0
21.421.4
Auto5.8
Teleop14.5
End1.1
red by 14.4
9998
#11
7.00.0
7.07.0
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody odds4%Melody odds
Ensemble
52%Ensemble odds13%Ensemble odds