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Red60
341929.6
69425.9
3953.9
Blue25
115521.7
99977.0
33316.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions704001001502002503006025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.60.0
29.629.6
Auto10.9
Teleop16.5
End2.3
red by 7.9
21.70.0
21.721.7
Auto7.3
Teleop12.5
End1.9
Second
694
#1
25.90.0
25.925.9
Auto3.4
Teleop18.8
End3.7
red by 9.8
333
#8
16.20.0
16.216.2
Auto5.5
Teleop9.3
End1.4
Third
395
#10
3.90.0
3.93.9
Auto0.8
Teleop2.3
End0.7
blue by 3.2
9997
#17
7.00.0
7.07.0
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody odds20%Melody odds
Ensemble
14%Ensemble odds7%Ensemble odds