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Red96
69425.9
179650.7
99937.0
Blue30
286930.5
33316.2
22653.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1004901502002503009630

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.70.0
50.750.7
Auto17.9
Teleop26.8
End5.9
red by 20.1
30.50.0
30.530.5
Auto9.7
Teleop19.0
End1.8
Second
694
#1
25.90.0
25.925.9
Auto3.4
Teleop18.8
End3.7
red by 9.8
333
#8
16.20.0
16.216.2
Auto5.5
Teleop9.3
End1.4
Third
9993
#13
7.00.0
7.07.0
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End0.5
red by 3.7
2265
#16
3.40.0
3.43.4
Auto0.6
Teleop2.4
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody odds38%Melody odds
Ensemble
59%Ensemble odds9%Ensemble odds