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Red31
341929.6
99987.0
873914.0
Blue50
99997.0
3953.9
33417.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions582801001502002503150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.60.0
29.629.6
Auto10.9
Teleop16.5
End2.3
red by 12.6
334
#7
17.00.0
17.017.0
Auto6.3
Teleop8.5
End2.3
Second
8739
#12
14.00.0
14.014.0
Auto7.0
Teleop6.2
End0.9
red by 7.0
9999
#15
7.00.0
7.07.0
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End0.5
Third
9998
#11
7.00.0
7.07.0
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End0.5
red by 3.2
395
#10
3.90.0
3.93.9
Auto0.8
Teleop2.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody odds11%Melody odds
Ensemble
4%Ensemble odds6%Ensemble odds