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Red15
36910.1
188021.4
99977.0
Blue71
160111.5
115521.7
964226.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32720501001502002501571

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1880
#18
21.40.0
21.421.4
Auto5.8
Teleop14.5
End1.1
blue by 5.4
26.80.0
26.826.8
Auto10.5
Teleop14.8
End1.5
Second
369
#4
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto4.7
Teleop5.3
End0.1
blue by 11.7
21.70.0
21.721.7
Auto7.3
Teleop12.5
End1.9
Third
9997
#17
7.00.0
7.07.0
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End0.5
blue by 4.5
1601
#14
11.50.0
11.511.5
Auto3.1
Teleop7.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody odds42%Melody odds
Ensemble
17%Ensemble odds18%Ensemble odds