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Red69
99977.0
341929.6
99937.0
Blue17
188021.4
99987.0
36910.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4242203050606917

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.60.0
29.629.6
Auto10.9
Teleop16.5
End2.3
red by 8.2
1880
#18
21.40.0
21.421.4
Auto5.8
Teleop14.5
End1.1
Second
9993
#13
7.00.0
7.07.0
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End0.5
blue by 3.0
369
#4
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto4.7
Teleop5.3
End0.1
Third
9997
#17
7.00.0
7.07.0
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End0.5
Level
9998
#11
7.00.0
7.07.0
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody odds9%Melody odds
Ensemble
15%Ensemble odds8%Ensemble odds