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Red41
99997.0
22653.4
160111.5
Blue67
3953.9
69425.9
286930.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18740501001502002504167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1601
#14
11.50.0
11.511.5
Auto3.1
Teleop7.1
End1.4
blue by 19.0
30.50.0
30.530.5
Auto9.7
Teleop19.0
End1.8
Second
9999
#15
7.00.0
7.07.0
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End0.5
blue by 18.9
694
#1
25.90.0
25.925.9
Auto3.4
Teleop18.8
End3.7
Third
2265
#16
3.40.0
3.43.4
Auto0.6
Teleop2.4
End0.4
blue by 0.5
395
#10
3.90.0
3.93.9
Auto0.8
Teleop2.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody odds36%Melody odds
Ensemble
8%Ensemble odds23%Ensemble odds