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Red46
341929.6
99937.0
115521.7
Blue51
873914.0
36910.1
964226.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions675501001502002503003504004651

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.60.0
29.629.6
Auto10.9
Teleop16.5
End2.3
red by 2.8
26.80.0
26.826.8
Auto10.5
Teleop14.8
End1.5
Second
21.70.0
21.721.7
Auto7.3
Teleop12.5
End1.9
red by 7.7
8739
#12
14.00.0
14.014.0
Auto7.0
Teleop6.2
End0.9
Third
9993
#13
7.00.0
7.07.0
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End0.5
blue by 3.0
369
#4
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto4.7
Teleop5.3
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody odds12%Melody odds
Ensemble
10%Ensemble odds19%Ensemble odds