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Red15
99977.0
188021.4
160111.5
Blue129
99997.0
179650.7
69425.9
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2910405015020025015129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1880
#18
21.40.0
21.421.4
Auto5.8
Teleop14.5
End1.1
blue by 29.2
50.70.0
50.750.7
Auto17.9
Teleop26.8
End5.9
Second
1601
#14
11.50.0
11.511.5
Auto3.1
Teleop7.1
End1.4
blue by 14.4
694
#1
25.90.0
25.925.9
Auto3.4
Teleop18.8
End3.7
Third
9997
#17
7.00.0
7.07.0
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End0.5
Level
9999
#15
7.00.0
7.07.0
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody odds64%Melody odds
Ensemble
13%Ensemble odds59%Ensemble odds